Bad Moon Rising(archaeology.org)
43 points by samclemens 83 days ago | 6 comments
hnlmorg 82 days ago
> “The eclipse of one of the great celestial lights—the sun or the moon—meant that on Earth a great figure would be eclipsed,” says George. “That is, a king would die.”

> the king would go into hiding and a temporary substitute would be placed on the throne. Once the threat was deemed to have passed, the king would reassume his position. To dispose of any lingering evil, his stand-in would then be executed.

I love how people can believe in an all seeing, all knowing, and all powerful god and yet also believe that deity can be tricked with such an obvious ruse.

I don’t know if that’s arrogance, stupidity or desperation. Perhaps a combination of all three.

olddustytrail 82 days ago
But the Babylonians didn't believe in an all seeing, all knowing, all powerful god. They weren't even monotheistic.
toss1 82 days ago
Still, you'd agree any God that can control the heavens and the fate of the earth, if you thought about it for 2 seconds would be quite unlikely to be fooled by that ruse, even if they are 'only' a lesser God..., right?
kbelder 82 days ago
They probably did the ruse, and it worked. The king lived. From that point on, it was a tried and tested solution.
cam_l 82 days ago
It wasn't the god they tricking, it was the populace (and the next in line to the throne).
YeGoblynQueenne 82 days ago
Remember Prometheus? He stole fire from the gods of Olympus and gave it to the humans.

In a different legend the gods held counsel to decide what parts of a ritual sacrifice would go to them, and what part to the humans. Prometheus gathered up the sacrificed animal's bones, polished them with its fat, wrapped them up in its hide and presented them to Zeus who was delighted at the artful arrangement, apparently, and accepted them in place of the bloody and dodgy looking meat and guts of the animal. So the humans kept the meat and guts, the gods got the bones.

No wonder Zeus punished Prometheus cruelly, for a thousand years until Hercules saved him. You probably know the story - rock, chains, eagle, liver, etc.

In yet other legends the gods fought the Titans (Prometheus was a Titan), and the Giants. The war with the Giants being especially bloody to the point that one Giant caught Zeus and cut the nerves from his arms and legs and left him paralysed, until Hermes stole the nerves and took them back to Zeus. The legend is a bit poor on details regarding how exactly he achieved this, but hey, gods.

All this is to say- yeah, the Gods were more powerful than humans. They commanded the weather, the sea, the earth and the sun; but they weren't omnipotent beings and they weren't even the creators of the world. Chaos was the creator of the world. Or possibly Chaos and Nyx together with Eros. From Chaos sprang Ouranos the sky, Gaia, the earth, and everything else in between and above. The Olympians came much later. In a sense they were the young upstarts. Zeus ... well, maimed his own father, Kronus (time?). Who had been eating all his children. So that's how Zeus became king of the gods: he usurped his Dad and fought two big wars against other pretenders to the throne. Hardly omnipotent. But very powerful nonetheless.

The Moirai -the Fates- were more powerful than Zeus, and all the other Gods combined: whatever the Fates decided, happened. When the Fates decided Hercules, the son of Zeus, would die, nothing Zeus could say or do would change their mind. Hercules died, and in a horrible, gruesome manner.

The gods were not omnipotent. Not the Olympians. Not, apparently, those of the Babylonians also. But their stories I don't know (I grew up in Athens, not Babylon).

hnlmorg 82 days ago
That’s an excellent counterpoint. I guess when viewed from that perspective then it’s a little less surprising that kings felt they could trick their gods.

Thanks for sharing :)

YeGoblynQueenne 82 days ago
:)
nico 82 days ago
> houses around 130,000 clay tablets from ancient Mesopotamia > Since so few scholars can read the languages on the tablets—the overwhelming majority remain untranslated

This would be an awesome job for AI. Get these scholars to train the AI, then have it automatically translate all the other tablets

Also, are there online scans of the tablets? Maybe the problem is not the scarcity of scholars, but gatekeeping?

On a tangent:

> These tablets, which likely come from Sippar, a Babylonian city in modern Iraq, were acquired by the museum more than a century ago and date to between 1900 and 1600 B.C.

Is "acquired" a euphemism for stolen here?

dghf 82 days ago
> Get these scholars to train the AI, then have it automatically translate all the other tablets

Which is great until it blithely translates an ancient curse and initiates the apocalypse.

timschmidt 82 days ago
Klaatu barada... necktie... neckturn... nickle... noodle... It's an N word, definitely an N word.
technothrasher 82 days ago
That's not a curse, that's a 'stand down' instruction. I would be much happier to see that, than, say, "Ph'nglui mglw'nafh Cthulhu R'lyeh wgah'nagl fhtagn".
dylan604 82 days ago
Unless as protection against hacking attempts at issuing the stand down command initiates a curse. After 3 attempts at the phrase, you must wait 30 seconds before your next attempt. After 5 attempts, you are personally frozen. After 10 attempts, all stand down instructions are wiped and the world is screwed at that point.
InsideOutSanta 82 days ago
You mean that hasn't already happened? What the hell is going on then?
ben_w 82 days ago
Just the usual stuff, unfortunately.

Given how chaotic people are, it's remarkable that millions of us working together isn't invariably a constant raging dumpster fire, and instead is only a bit of smoke here and there that sometimes flares up a bit.

InsideOutSanta 82 days ago
That's very true. As a child, I was confused by all the chaos. Adults seemed to know everything, and yet there was constant war and famine and dysfunction all over the world. As an adult, I'm confused by the fact that anything works at all.
YeGoblynQueenne 82 days ago
Don't worry, you're still confused: nothing does :P
InsideOutSanta 81 days ago
That's a relief! No, wait!
cindycindy 82 days ago
'Dysfunctionally functional' is probably a term that I read elsewhere. It's almost a curse because if things were to fully break, then everyone on earth would consider that a sufficient wake-up call. Instead, we limp along focusing all of our functional resources towards our dysfunction, almost like the most proficient addict who finds new and inventive ways to fight sobriety. It is truly a sight to behold.
timschmidt 81 days ago
Many cells have https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contractile_vacuole

It's an organelle that periodically contracts to expel water from inside the cell, out. This prevents the cell from absorbing too much water through osmosis and rupturing.

Even the individual cells are bailing water, as if from a sinking life raft. Always have been. Life itself is a process of dysfunctional function. Actively resisting death. It makes sense that we see this reflected at all scales. It is not a disorder, it is the natural state of living in a universe with entropy.

cindycindy 81 days ago
Good observation! But then what do you call cancer? Life cannot happen without cell growth. So what happens when the normal functioning of cells turns malignant?
timschmidt 78 days ago
All kinds of different cancer, but the point is that the cells keep living and reproducing when they shouldn't. Which I think is very life-y. What's more surprising is the existence and generally reliable nature of apoptosis. The scales across which life exists are really staggering. All kinds of opportunities for weirdness in the abstractions.
YeGoblynQueenne 82 days ago
Does it work that way? Is a curse actually cast if it is a machine reading its text rather than a human?

Can machines curse?

timschmidt 81 days ago
This is a question addressed in https://unsongbook.com/
mangamadaiyan 82 days ago
How would we know that the AI didn't hallucinate when it translated a tablet? In other words, how could one trust the translation? A human translator can still provide some justification for their interpretation.

Also, "acquired" could simply mean that the museum paid money to a third party to, well, acquire the piece(s) in question while not inquiring too deeply into how said third party came into possession of the objects that they sold.

wood_spirit 82 days ago
I remember a time team episode where they found some Ogham script on a stone in an early Christian church now on a fairway on the isle of Mann.

They got photos to the leading professor in Ogham who translated it for them.

I happened to mention this on HN a few months ago in relation to something or other, and a commenter replied to me to explain that that translation was no longer sound, and the current understanding was that the tablet said something completely different instead!

(Found the link they gave! https://www.babelstone.co.uk/Blog/2008/05/throng-of-fifty-wa...)

YeGoblynQueenne 82 days ago
If it wasn't an LLM that found the professor's mistake then the point I think you're trying to make is, well, missing the point: a human made a mistake, and humans found out and corrected it. The question is what happens when LLMs make mistakes. Will people still be careful enough to catch and correct them, as often as we find and correct the mistakes we make ourselves? Or will our ability to do so be overwhelmed by the extreme rate at which LLMs can generate text?
wood_spirit 81 days ago
My point was more meta - the experts don’t have a fixed opinion on the translations of rare ancient texts in the first place, ergo there is nothing to train the llma on.
YeGoblynQueenne 80 days ago
Thanks for clarifying. But note that the same applies to modern translations. There is no agreement between experts (translators) what it means for a translation to be "good" or "bad", or anything in between.

So the done thing in translation is to choose some existing translation as a "gold standard" and use that one, without any assumptions of how good or bad it is. Sometimes there's an attempt to rate translations by polling humans but that can not be easily done at scale and certainly not at web-scale, as in LLMs (the modern de facto standard for automatic translation as far as I can tell; I haven't been watching the field closely lately).

The same logic is applied to metrics like BLEU and ROUGE scores, used to measure the goodness of a translation. The general idea is that you choose a translation to be the "gold standard" and then compare the n-grams in the gold standard, and the automatic translation, for overlap.

It's a very crude and imperfect measure and it's one reason why, in practice, we have no idea how good automatic translations are especially now that automatic translation systems are deployed and working every day with millions of input and output texts that nobody can reasonably be expected to evaluate.

In any case just because there's no fixed opinion on what is a good translation, doesn't mean an LLM can't be used to produce one. It probably will. Assuming I understand your point better now, I agree that this is going to cause trouble down the line.

bruce511 82 days ago
At the very least one could see from the AI if the tablet is interesting or not. That could triage tablets for human translation.
Groxx 82 days ago
This is the same thing as trusting its translation though. Or worse, since there's more "interpretation" happening (as it's basically a summary rather than a whole text, and you can't trust either of those steps).
flir 82 days ago
It's like using a classifier to sort biopsies from most-likely to least-likely to be Really Bad News. A human will get to them all eventually, but you can at least fast-track the ones that are almost certainly Really Bad News.

(I think I just said "triage" in a lot more words, to be honest).

mangamadaiyan 82 days ago
Sure, as long as one has some means of predicting the probability of false positives as well as false negatives. Until then, colour me unconvinced of the (f)utility of this approach :)
timschmidt 82 days ago
LLMs do a pretty darn good job of translating other languages, even preserving inflection and tone and rhyme in some cases. Same when translating programming languages. If the training pool is large enough, they should be quite good at it.

No problem marking them as machine translated and keeping track of which have been spot-checked by experts either.

Keysh 82 days ago
I think "if the training pool is large enough" is a real issue here. We're not talking about living languages with large, properly attested and annotated corpuses.

Indeed, one of the thing you'd probably like the translators to do is identify rare or unique words that can be added to our existing knowledge of these languages.

timschmidt 82 days ago
> I think "if the training pool is large enough" is a real issue here.

It would be really neat to set up something like a wiki populated with the existing translations and machine translations done via LLM, and to periodically re-train the LLM on all the newly manually verified translations and automatically re-run the machine translations after. The whole thing could move incrementally toward high quality output.

graemep 82 days ago
> Is "acquired" a euphemism for stolen here?

Given what and where they were from it almost certainly means donated or sold to the museum by the archeologists who excavated them in the first place.

Keysh 82 days ago
It sounds like they were excavated in 1881-1882 (e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sippar#Archaeology) by Hormuzd Rassam ("widely believed to be the first-known Middle Eastern and Assyrian archaeologist from the Ottoman empire."; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hormuzd_Rassam) working in conjunction with the British Museum.

"From 1877 to 1882, while undertaking four expeditions on behalf of the British Museum, Rassam made some important discoveries. Numerous finds of significance were transported to the museum, thanks to an agreement made with the Ottoman Sultan by Rassam's old colleague Austen Henry Layard, now Ambassador at Constantinople, allowing Rassam to return and continue their earlier excavations and to 'pack and dispatch to England any antiquities [he] found ... provided, however, there were no duplicates.' A representative of the Sultan was instructed to be present at the dig to examine the objects as they were uncovered."

So, not a euphemism for "stolen".

tbrownaw 82 days ago
Yes but can everyone involved - both the original archeologists who excavated them and the people who bought them - claim ancestry from whatever ancient society made them, or at least the oldest traceable group to have resided on that land? AIUI that is how "stolen" tends to be construed for archaeological things these days.
graemep 81 days ago
That idea makes sense in an American context where there is a clear divide between indigenous and more recent groups. The same is true of some other places like Australia.

In Eurasia and Africa this does not work. "The oldest traceable group" may be many invasions, conquests and mass migrations after the things were made. The current residents or earliest traceable group may well have enslaved, oppressed, or killed the group who made the things. In many, many cases they would have erased the culture that made them.

In the case of these tablets there is no one who can meaningfully claim to be an Akkadian.

cess11 82 days ago
Have you ever read translations of such ancient texts? Why are you so certain there are enough reliable translations to do the model training?

Look at https://etcsl.orinst.ox.ac.uk/cgi-bin/etcsl.cgi?text=t.3.1.2... , for example. To me it doesn't come across as something I would expect an LLM to be able to produce. They are basically decent at translating between certain languages, and only documents that are very formal. As soon as metaphor, idioms and so on come up in source texts they suck.

There's more translated sumerian you can read here: https://etcsl.orinst.ox.ac.uk/edition2/etcslbycat.php

starluz 82 days ago
[dead]
mda 82 days ago
See aicuneiform.com
idoubtit 82 days ago
> Also, are there online scans of the tablets? Maybe the problem is not the scarcity of scholars, but gatekeeping?

With a few minutes of searching the internet, you would not have written that inappropriate question.

Tablets are 3D objects which are most often eroded and broken. A plain photography, like one would make for a sheet of paper, is useless in the general case. To bring out the cuneiform characters, the light must be raking the surface. And don't forget that that surface can be concave, and text can go over the sides. Most tablets need many photos with different lights. It's a long and hard work that is not automated.

Guess what, Scholars have heard about AI. If AI could help them publish astonishing papers and push forward their career, do you really think they wouldn't rush to it?

LeonenTheDK 82 days ago
That's brutal they'd execute the stand-in after the celestial omen was deemed to have passed. I wonder if the person standing in knew it was coming? Was it a great honour to take the king's place during a crisis, or was the person put there in a more deceptive way?
shermantanktop 82 days ago
Sounds like the premise for a Babylonian fish-out-of-water comedy. “It’s like Trading Places meets Gilgamesh!”
pfdietz 82 days ago
With lots of Assyrian butt jokes.
krapp 82 days ago
Kra-merggu slides into Jer-ishtal's apartment and exclaims "I can't see a thing."

Jer-ishtal looks on bemused, and says "open that one."

laugh track ensues

[cut to commercial for Crazy Ea-Nasir's Copper Emporium]

yyx 82 days ago
You can look up Ellen Pao and her time as interim CEO of Reddit for recent example.
InsideOutSanta 82 days ago
In pre-scientific societies, "let's just murder a bunch of people and see if it helps" seems to be a surprisingly common way of handling all kinds of things. Google "Children of Llullaillaco" for an absolutely heartbreaking example of this.
pfdietz 80 days ago
Those societies were usually operating in a state of Malthusian equilibrium. There were always surplus people around who were going to die anyway. Culling this surplus was a problem they constantly had to solve; I imagine this drove warfare, for example, just to use some of the surplus before it inevitably died off in a lean year.
01HNNWZ0MV43FF 82 days ago
There is a non-zero chance I will be part of the stand-in pool for the USA in the next 4 years :) It's not gonna help anything, but you know
barbazoo 82 days ago
They didn't even have a control group?!?
alganet 82 days ago
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/newly-deciphered-4...

> “This eclipse is … set aside for testing,” the newly translated cuneiform reads at one point, indicating the need for another round of rigorous omen-checking before the future could be foretold.

I wonder how would they know if an omen test "passes".

What if these are not omens, but something else? Maybe it was a school lesson, and the "set aside for testing" is some teacher note. This would not be unusual, as we already know sumerians used tablets as school notebooks.

I don't know which parts of these media articles talk about the content of the tablet or the interpretation of the scholars. Is the thing about entrails on the newly translated tablet itself, or is that from another place and the scholars made an association?

Again, I would love to be able to read the tablet (digital transliteration + translation).

harywilke 82 days ago
There is a really excellent podcast on the history of astronomy called The Song of Urania[0] that goes into a ton of depth about eclipses and how different cultures viewed and recorded the events of the sky. [0]https://songofurania.com/
pwillia7 82 days ago
how do we feel about messing with history trying to repair broken statues? https://imgur.com/a/sAeWnCp